Ambivalence and network collapse
Network-based governance operates under the shadow of formal rules
and laws. This means that where informality is widespread, hybrid
regimes emerge, which are characterised by the disjunction between the
formal (a democratic institutional façade, commitment to good
governance) and the informal (real practice with authoritarian bents,
impunity for allies for their corrupt crimes).
This co-existence of the formal and the informal confers ambivalence
to roles and behaviours and generates tensions, which are often resolved
through the regular application of double standards.
Thus, informal networks that co-opt strategically to win elections
must, thereafter, tend to and balance the particularistic interests of
their members while simultaneously performing formal government
functions. The seven cases confirm that informal networks can become
unstable, and even collapse, because of this constant tension.
Informal networks may collapse when:
- Their abuses become so rampant that they trigger a popular upheaval. Excessive
corruption can give rise to social movements that drive ruling elites
out of power as in the cases of the Rose Revolution in Georgia and the
Tulip Revolution in Kyrgyzstan.
- They become too exclusive and repressive. Excessive
authoritarianism can generate incentives to reconfiguring the networks
to oust the dictator, as was the case in the demise of Daniel Arap Moi
in Kenya.
- They become too large and complex to manage. Networks
that are particularly successful at co-opting can also become
internally too difficult to manage, as was the case of the Wanamtandao
in Tanzania. In that case, the demands of the different network members
were so extensive and difficult to reconcile with available resources
that the tensions led to unresolvable elite fractures.
- Violent conflict leads to complete elite renewal. This
was the case in Rwanda after the genocide and Uganda after the fall of
Idi Amin. In those cases, President Paul Kagame and Yoweri Museveni
superseded the previous ruling networks by virtue of their unequivocal
military victories.
The breakup of informal ruling networks generates windows of
opportunity to rebuild governance regimes that promote better
anti-corruption outcomes but can also simply lead to the reconfiguration
of new networks that continue to rule on the basis of similar practices
of co-optation, control and camouflage.
In fact, the evidence suggests that unless measures are taken
explicitly to ensure and institutionalise the autonomy of the state from
vested interests, backsliding into informal governance practices and
the ensuing escalation of corruption, will be the most likely outcome.
This is evidenced in the cases of Kenya, Kyrgyzstan, Uganda, but also of
Georgia, where reformist elites ultimately yielded to co-opting (and
being co-opted) by special interests.